Graham's approval rating with primary voters is at 66 percent, with 26 percent disapproving. He leads a generic "more conservative" Republican in the race by 51 to 40 percent, a big jump from the 37 to 52 percent position he was in when the pollster last checked slightly less than a year ago.
Graham's standing jumps when paired against actual Republicans who could theoretically challenge him. He leads Rep. Tim ScottTim ScottHaley slams United Nations, echoing Trump DeVos vows to be advocate for 'great' public schools Trump education pick to face Warren, Sanders MORE (R-S.C.), who may be picked to replace retiring Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.), by 54 to 32 percent. He has a 57 to 29 percent edge over Rep. Trey GowdyTrey GowdyCongress asserts itself GOP rep says media is 'blurring' fact and opinion Oversight panel demands answers on Pentagon waste report MORE (R-S.C.), a 64 to 26 percent edge over former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford (R), a 64 to 20 percent edge over Rep. Mick Mulvaney (R-S.C.) and a 67 to 17 percent lead over state Sen. Tom Davis (R), who many have speculated will challenge Graham but recently told The Hill that he "probably" won't run for the seat.
While many Washington-based conservative groups want to see Graham challenged in the primary, these numbers (along with the possible chance to run for DeMint's seat) hint at why no one has yet signaled they will run against Graham.
The poll of 506 Republican primary voters was conducted from Dec. 7-9 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.