A corollary to Shakespeare’s adage, “A rose by any other name would smell as sweet,” is that “garbage by any other name would smell as awful.”
The latter seems apropos to the “reform” of the government-sponsored housing enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, introduced by the Senators Tim JohnsonTim JohnsonCourt ruling could be game changer for Dems in Nevada Bank lobbyists counting down to Shelby’s exit Former GOP senator endorses Clinton after Orlando shooting MORE, D-S.D., and Mike CrapoMike CrapoEx-Im faces new problems with Trump GOP debates going big on tax reform Top Banking Dem pushes back on Trump Dodd-Frank 'dismantle' MORE, R-Idaho. The bill was set to be marked up Apr. 29, but was delayed after opposition garnered from many quarters.
While the media often characterizes this plan as “ending” Fannie and Freddie, most of their functions would simply be transferred to a new giant government entity, the Federal Mortgage Insurance Corporation (FMIC). Not only would the government’s role in subsidizing and micromanaging housing not be reduced, in some ways it would be substantially increased.
Further, the legislation would create an explicit taxpayer guarantee of the GSEs’ $5.6 trillion in debt, and the National Housing Trust Fund (a political slush fund for housing advocacy groups until it was closed due to Fannie and Freddie’s financial woes) would be reopened and parked in the new FMIC.
Worst of all, and sending the worst possible signal to potential private sector investors, Fannie and Freddie’s shareholders would be wiped out permanently under the bill’s Section 604.
Fannie was created as a government agency in 1938 and spun off as a government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) in 1968. Freddie was created as a sister GSE two years later. Even though they had private shareholders, they always retained government privileges: They were exempt from state and local taxes, and, importantly, each had a $2 billion line of credit with the U.S. Treasury.
Back in 2000, the Competitive Enterprise Institute’s Founder Fred Smith predicted in his testimony before Congress that “as long as the [government] pipeline is there, it’s very expandable.…It could be $200 billion tomorrow.”
He underestimated the ultimate tab to taxpayers for the bailout orchestrated by the Bush administration, which put the GSE’s under conservatorship at the height of the financial crisis in 2008.
While the Obama administration estimates the cost at $188 billion, the Congressional Budget Office’s “fair value” accounting puts it at $317 billion.
But the real cost to taxpayers came from Fannie and Freddie’s role in partnering with banks in issuing new subprime mortgages. Based on published reports, the GSEs had key roles in providing invaluable assistance to bad actors in the private sector including Countrywide Financial, Bear Stearns, and Lehman Brothers.
The American Enterprise Institute’s Peter Wallison opined in The Wall Street Journal that in September 2008, “half of all mortgages — 28 million — were subprime or otherwise risky and low-quality,” and of these, “74 percent were on the books of government agencies, principally the GSEs.”
The Johnson-Crapo “reform” mostly just shifts these books around. Like an earlier bill drafted by Sens. Bob CorkerBob CorkerLawmakers eye early exit from Washington Trump: 'Almost all' Cabinet picks coming next week Overnight Defense: Trump reportedly picking Mattis for Defense chief MORE, R-Tenn., and Mark WarnerMark WarnerOvernight Cybersecurity: Last-ditch effort to stop expanded hacking powers fails Intel Dems push for info on Russia and election be declassified Senate Dems push Obama for info on Russian election interference MORE, D-Va., the plan purports to replace Fannie and Freddie with the FMIC, a government-backed mortgage insurer with political appointees.
Much is made of how private owners will take at least 10 percent of the loss on mortgage-backed securities the FMIC insures.
But that still leaves 90 percent to be absorbed by the FMIC. Wallison adds, “When the government backs any system — whether through deposit insurance, flood insurance, pension benefits, etc. — the beneficiaries have only limited interest in the risks they are taking.”
The biggest beneficiaries may be big-government housing advocates, since the Housing Trust Fund the Johnson-Crapo plan creates within the FMIC bears a remarkable similarity to that which used to exist within the GSEs.
The trust fund lay dormant during the decent financial management of the GSEs Ed DeMarco. But DeMarco’s replacement, former Rep. Mel Watt, D-N.C., has pledged to restart it.
And now, the fact that a bipartisan “reform” plan gives the “trust fund” its blessing will only strengthen Watt’s hand in bestowing this patronage.
Worse (smelling) still, the “reform” explicitly codifies the Obama administration’s policy of completely wiping out Fannie and Freddie’s private shareholders, including community banks, pension funds and middle-class investors.
In August 2012, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner secretly issued the “Third Amendment” to the GSE conservatorship in which all profits would be siphoned-off to the U.S. Treasury Department in perpetuity, even after the GSEs paid back what they owed to taxpayers. Section 604 of Johnson-Crapo reiterates that these “shall not be amended, restated, or otherwise changed.”
Is this any way to attract new investment? As Ike Brannon and Mark Calabria write in a new paper for the Cato Institute, “If we hope to rebuild our mortgage finance system on a foundation of private capital, then property and contractual rights must be respected.”
The best option to mitigate the risk posed by the GSEs’ to taxpayers and the economy is an orderly liquidation of their assets, with no government-backed entity to replace them.
As Fred Smith urged Congress in 2000 — to mostly deaf ears — policymakers should “develop a divestiture or breakup plan for Fannie and Freddie.” And in such a plan, as in traditional bankruptcies, the rights of both taxpayers and private investors should be sacrosanct.
Berlau is senior fellow for finance and access to capital at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a libertarian think tank.