By Shane D’Aprile - 10/06/10 09:55 AM EDT
Rep. Glenn Nye (D) vs. Scott RigellScott RigellOvernight Regulation: Supreme Court rejects GOP redistricting challenge Supreme Court rejects GOP challenge to Va. redistricting plan Overnight Defense: Senate panel approves 2B defense bill MORE (R)
The poll found that 26
percent of independents say they are undecided, which makes them a key
factor in the race. Independents who have made up their minds are
almost evenly divided between the two candidates.
touted his ties to the Tea Party movement but, overall among
independent voters, only 18 percent said Tea Party ties would make them
more likely to vote for a candidate; 78 percent said it would not make
them more likely to support such a candidate. Overall, 44 percent of
independent voters have an unfavorable view of the Tea Party.
independent voters also believe, 52 percent to 26, that the presidency
and Congress should be controlled by different parties.
apathy could also prove a problem for Nye. Only 64 percent of Democrats
say they are “very passionate” about voting in November, compared to 83
percent of Republicans and 66 percent of independents.
poll was conducted Sept. 25-27, consisted of 397 phone interviews among
likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.
Rep. Tom Perriello (D) vs. Robert HurtRobert HurtOvernight Regulation: Supreme Court rejects GOP redistricting challenge Supreme Court rejects GOP challenge to Va. redistricting plan Supreme Court weighs legality of Virginia redistricting MORE (R)
The Hill/ANGA poll found that Perriello trails Hurt by a single point — 44 percent to 45 — with 9 percent of likely voters undecided.
still has time to turn it around, but he’ll have to do it with two key
groups — women and independents. These groups remain the largest bloc
of undecided voters, with 11 percent of women and 13 percent of
Voter enthusiasm could present a
problem for Perriello: 80 percent of Republicans say they are “very
passionate” about voting, while only 68 percent of Democrats describe
themselves that way.
President Obama could be an albatross
for his fellow Democrat this cycle. A majority of voters (54 percent)
disapprove of the president’s performance and, by a 3-to-1 ratio,
respondents said their opinion of Obama will influence their vote this
The poll was conducted Sept. 28-30, consisted of 403 phone interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.
The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm