By The Hill Staff - 10/13/10 09:05 AM EDT
Republicans could end Dems’ 100-year lock on this seat
Democrats have held this seat for over a century, but Rep. Marion Berry’s (D-Ark.) retirement could mark the end of the party’s reign.
Democrat Chad Causey, a former Berry staffer, faces his widest gap among independent voters, who support Crawford 51 percent to 24.
Crawford, a former Army sergeant who now owns a farm-news network, leads among male and female voters and with voters across all age groups.
This seat has been trending Republican: John McCainJohn McCainGreen Beret awarded for heroism during 'pandemonium' of Boston bombing House passes bill exempting some from ObamaCare mandate NBC's Lester Holt emerges from debate bruised and partisan MORE won it with 59 percent in 2008. And President Obama gets low marks from voters — 62 percent disapprove of the job he’s doing. Congressional disapproval is even higher — 76 percent think Congress is doing a bad job.
And 70 percent of voters said the president would be a factor in their 2010 decision.
Also, a majority of voters, 39 percent, said they have a better view of President George W. Bush now than they had when he first left office. Only 27 percent had a worse view, and 30 percent said they saw him “about the same.”
The NRCC has spent around $337,000 in this district, while the DCCC has spent about $304,000.
The Hill’s poll was conducted Oct. 5-7, surveyed 409 likely voters via the telephone and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent.